La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.28
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.41
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV +1.44%E +0.440%K +0.632%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -6.75%E -5.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 01:44 |
| betPARX | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Bally Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.75%E -5.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 01:19 |
| ReBet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -0.414%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 01:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| BetUS | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -1.65%E -0.519%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.85%EV -2.27%E -0.718%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.15%EV -2.61%E -1.85%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-08 00:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 01:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| theScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| BetAnything | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -2.89%E -0.920%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 00:20 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 09:04 |
| Fliff | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 01:40 |
| GTbets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 01:19 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 17:05 |
| FanDuel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 21:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 01:15 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -7.53%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 17:35 |
| Betsson | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -8.15%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 01:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -8.15%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 21:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 01:58 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 21:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.71%EV -12.97%E -10.29%K -49.88%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-08 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-04-08 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 01:25 |
| Polymarket | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 21:29 |
| Novig | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.82% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.18% | 1.1% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.73% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| 1xBet | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.19% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.33% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.48% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 01:24 |
| Unibet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.05% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 01:30 |
| Grosvenor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Casumo | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| TABtouch | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 01:25 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06% | 8.4% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.77% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87% | 8.9% | 2026-04-08 01:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75% | 12.5% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |