La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vancouver Canucks v Vegas Golden Knights
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vancouver Canucks (Local)
Predicción 30.93%3.23momio equitativo
EV +1.44%
Ventaja +0.440%
Kelly +0.632%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.16%30.90%30.85%32.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.083.103.2835.09%32.52%32.26%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vegas Golden Knights (Visitante)
Predicción 69.07%1.45momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -6.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.38%69.10%69.15%70.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.381.391.4179.37%72.30%71.94%70.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV +1.44%E +0.440%K +0.632%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -6.75%E -5.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 01:44 |
| betPARX | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Bally Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.75%E -5.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 01:19 |
| ReBet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -0.414%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 01:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| BetUS | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -1.65%E -0.519%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.85%EV -2.27%E -0.718%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.15%EV -2.61%E -1.85%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-08 00:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 01:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| theScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| BetAnything | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -2.89%E -0.920%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 00:20 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 09:04 |
| Fliff | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 01:40 |
| GTbets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 01:19 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 17:05 |
| FanDuel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 21:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 01:15 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -7.53%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 17:35 |
| Betsson | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -8.15%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 01:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -8.15%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 21:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 01:58 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 21:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.71%EV -12.97%E -10.29%K -49.88%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-08 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-04-08 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 01:25 |
| Polymarket | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 21:29 |
| Novig | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.82% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.18% | 1.1% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 02:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.73% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| 1xBet | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.19% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.33% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.48% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 01:24 |
| Unibet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.05% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 01:30 |
| Grosvenor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Casumo | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| TABtouch | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 01:25 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06% | 8.4% | 2026-04-08 02:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.77% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87% | 8.9% | 2026-04-08 01:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 02:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75% | 12.5% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |