L’École des cotes

Vancouver Canucks v Vegas Golden Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vancouver Canucks (Local)

Prévision 30.93%3.23cote équitable
EV +1.44%
Avantage +0.440%
Kelly +0.632%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.16%30.90%30.85%32.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.083.103.2835.09%32.52%32.26%30.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.07%1.45cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -6.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.38%69.10%69.15%70.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.381.391.4179.37%72.30%71.94%70.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV +1.44%E +0.440%K +0.632%G +0.009%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -6.75%E -5.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:44
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.228%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:20
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.228%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:20
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.228%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.75%E -5.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 01:19
ReBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -0.414%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:24
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 02:04
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 02:05
BetUS3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -1.65%E -0.519%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 02:04
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.85%EV -2.27%E -0.718%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.15%EV -2.61%E -1.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-08 00:20
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 01:25
Paddy Power3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:05
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:00
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:05
SportsBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -2.89%E -0.920%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.37%E -3.92%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 02:05
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 00:20
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 02:00
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 09:04
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 00:00
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 01:40
GTbets3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 01:19
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.13%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.06%E -4.46%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 17:05
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.99%E -2.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 01:40
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 21:30
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 01:15
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 01:10
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 01:54
MyBookie.ag2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -7.53%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 17:35
Betsson2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -8.15%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:55
NordicBet2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -8.15%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:55
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:04
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 01:58
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 01:10
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.30%E -2.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 21:34
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.71%EV -12.97%E -10.29%K -49.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-08 01:40
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.68%E -3.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 02:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%0.2%2026-04-08 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-04-08 02:05
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-04-08 02:05
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-04-07 01:25
Polymarket3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-04-07 21:29
Novig3.21I 31.15%NM 30.82%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.18%1.1%2026-04-08 02:05
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-04-08 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%1.2%2026-04-08 02:05
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%2.2%2026-04-08 02:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.4%2026-04-08 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.4%2026-04-08 01:20
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.4%2026-04-08 01:20
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.4%2026-04-08 01:20
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.73%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%3.7%2026-04-08 02:00
1xBet4.31I 23.20%NM 22.19%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.33%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.48%4.5%2026-04-08 01:54
Marathon Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%4.8%2026-04-08 00:20
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%4.9%2026-04-08 01:24
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.05%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%5.4%2026-04-08 01:30
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%5.8%2026-04-08 01:20
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%5.8%2026-04-08 01:20
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%5.8%2026-04-08 01:20
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%6.7%2026-04-08 01:20
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%7.0%2026-04-08 01:25
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%7.1%2026-04-08 02:00
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%7.5%2026-04-08 01:20
Unibet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%8.0%2026-04-08 01:55
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%8.4%2026-04-08 02:00
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.77%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%8.9%2026-04-08 01:54
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%9.0%2026-04-08 02:04
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%9.2%2026-04-08 02:04
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%12.5%2026-04-08 01:20