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Vancouver Canucks v Tampa Bay Lightning
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vancouver Canucks (Local)
Prediction 26.52%3.77fair odd
EV -0.560%
Edge -0.149%
Kelly -0.204%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%26.55%26.51%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.603.7530.30%27.87%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Lightning (Visit)
Prediction 73.48%1.36fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -6.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%73.45%73.49%74.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.301.301.3383.33%77.06%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vancouver Canucks (Local): 26.52%; Tampa Bay Lightning (Visit): 73.48%. For Vancouver Canucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.560%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 01:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 01:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -1.36%E -0.364%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 00:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 00:47 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -2.95%E -0.805%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-20 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -2.95%E -0.805%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-20 01:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.21%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.21%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -4.27%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 00:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 00:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 20:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 01:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -5.60%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.27%E -1.71%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 14:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.25%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.25%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.49%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.33%EV -11.82%E -9.85%K -59.10%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.09% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.91% | -0.4% | 2026-03-20 01:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Novig◎ | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.64% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.36% | 1.7% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 00:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.69% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.17% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.07% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.11% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.73% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.57% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.93% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 00:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.98% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.81% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 01:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.55% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.77% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 17.84% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02% | 11.0% | 2026-03-20 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88% | 14.1% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |