La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| ReBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 01:34 |
| Caesars | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 01:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 01:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -1.36%E -0.364%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| betPARX | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 00:39 |
| Bally Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 00:47 |
| BetAnything | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -2.95%E -0.805%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-20 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -2.95%E -0.805%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-20 01:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.21%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| GTbets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.21%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -4.27%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 00:54 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 20:09 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Fliff | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 00:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 20:10 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 20:09 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 01:39 |
| BetUS | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -5.60%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.27%E -1.71%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 14:58 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 14:59 |
| Betsson | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.25%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| NordicBet | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.25%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Neds | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 20:10 |
| TAB | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.49%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.33%EV -11.82%E -9.85%K -59.10%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.09% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.91% | -0.4% | 2026-03-20 01:59 |
| Matchbook | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| Polymarket | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| ProphetX | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Novig | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.64% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.36% | 1.7% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 00:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Coolbet | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.69% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.17% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.07% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| 1xBet | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.11% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.73% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.57% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.93% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 00:45 |
| Unibet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 00:39 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 00:35 |
| Casumo | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| TABtouch | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.98% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.81% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 01:39 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.55% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.77% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.05I 19.80%NM 17.84% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02% | 11.0% | 2026-03-20 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88% | 14.1% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |