La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vancouver Canucks v Tampa Bay Lightning
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vancouver Canucks (Local)
Predicción 26.52%3.77momio equitativo
EV -0.560%
Ventaja -0.149%
Kelly -0.204%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.60%26.55%26.51%27.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.593.603.7530.30%27.87%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tampa Bay Lightning (Visitante)
Predicción 73.48%1.36momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -6.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.34%73.45%73.49%74.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.301.301.3383.33%77.06%76.92%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| ReBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 01:34 |
| Caesars | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 01:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 01:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -1.36%E -0.364%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| betPARX | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 00:39 |
| Bally Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 00:47 |
| BetAnything | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -2.95%E -0.805%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-20 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -2.95%E -0.805%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-20 01:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.21%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| GTbets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.21%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -4.27%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 00:54 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 20:09 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Fliff | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 00:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 20:10 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 20:09 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 01:39 |
| BetUS | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -5.60%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.27%E -1.71%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 14:58 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 14:59 |
| Betsson | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.25%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| NordicBet | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.25%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Neds | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 20:10 |
| TAB | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.49%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.33%EV -11.82%E -9.85%K -59.10%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.09% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.91% | -0.4% | 2026-03-20 01:59 |
| Matchbook | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| Polymarket | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| ProphetX | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Novig | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.64% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.36% | 1.7% | 2026-03-20 02:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 00:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Coolbet | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.69% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.17% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.07% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| 1xBet | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.11% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.73% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.57% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.93% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 00:45 |
| Unibet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 00:39 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 00:35 |
| Casumo | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| TABtouch | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.98% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.81% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 01:39 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 00:40 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.55% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.77% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 01:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.05I 19.80%NM 17.84% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02% | 11.0% | 2026-03-20 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88% | 14.1% | 2026-03-20 02:05 |