L’École des cotes

Vancouver Canucks v Tampa Bay Lightning

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vancouver Canucks (Local)

Prévision 26.52%3.77cote équitable
EV -0.560%
Avantage -0.149%
Kelly -0.204%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.60%26.55%26.51%27.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.593.603.7530.30%27.87%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tampa Bay Lightning (Visiteur)

Prévision 73.48%1.36cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -6.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.34%73.45%73.49%74.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.301.301.3383.33%77.06%76.92%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 02:00
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 01:34
Caesars3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.560%E -0.149%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 01:59
SportsBet3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -1.36%E -0.364%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 02:00
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 00:39
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 00:40
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 02:04
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 00:47
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.89%E -0.510%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 01:49
LowVig.ag3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -2.95%E -0.805%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 01:54
BetOnline.ag3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -2.95%E -0.805%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 01:55
FanDuel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.21%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 02:00
GTbets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.21%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 02:05
Pinnacle3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -4.27%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 00:50
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:54
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 20:09
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 02:04
Fliff3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 02:05
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:38
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 20:10
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 20:09
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:04
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 01:54
MyBookie.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 01:39
BetUS3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -5.60%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 01:49
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.27%E -1.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 14:58
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 02:05
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 13:59
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 14:59
Betsson3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.25%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:04
NordicBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -8.25%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.74%E -2.85%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:04
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:10
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 02:04
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 02:04
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 02:04
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.49%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.33%EV -11.82%E -9.85%K -59.10%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-20 02:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly4.00I 25.00%NM 25.09%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.91%-0.4%2026-03-20 01:59
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-03-20 02:00
Polymarket3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-03-19 18:19
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-03-20 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-03-20 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-03-20 02:04
ProphetX3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-03-20 02:04
Novig3.69I 27.10%NM 26.64%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.36%1.7%2026-03-20 02:00
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-03-20 02:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%3.2%2026-03-20 00:40
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%3.2%2026-03-20 00:40
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%3.2%2026-03-20 00:39
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%3.2%2026-03-20 00:40
Coolbet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.69%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%4.3%2026-03-20 01:49
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.17%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.07%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%4.3%2026-03-20 02:04
1xBet5.01I 19.96%NM 19.11%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.73%4.5%2026-03-20 01:54
Marathon Bet5.15I 19.42%NM 18.57%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.93%4.6%2026-03-20 00:45
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%5.6%2026-03-20 00:39
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%5.6%2026-03-20 00:35
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%5.6%2026-03-20 00:40
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.15%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%5.6%2026-03-20 00:40
TABtouch5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.98%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%6.6%2026-03-20 00:40
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.81%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%6.6%2026-03-20 01:39
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%7.5%2026-03-20 00:40
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%7.7%2026-03-20 02:04
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%8.2%2026-03-20 02:04
Parions Sport (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.55%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.77%8.8%2026-03-20 01:49
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%9.0%2026-03-20 01:39
Betclic (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%10.0%2026-03-20 02:04
Unibet (FR)5.05I 19.80%NM 17.84%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%11.0%2026-03-20 01:50
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%14.1%2026-03-20 02:05