Idioma:Português
Tampa Bay Lightning v Detroit Red Wings
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)
Previsão 65.86%1.52odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -5.26%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.63%65.88%65.85%66.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.451.451.4875.19%69.02%68.97%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Detroit Red Wings (Visitante)
Previsão 34.14%2.93odd justa
EV -2.71%
Vantagem -0.950%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.41%34.12%34.15%35.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.782.802.8538.46%36.00%35.71%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tampa Bay Lightning (Local): 65.86%; Detroit Red Wings (Visitante): 34.14%. Para Tampa Bay Lightning (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.52. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.48, com valor esperado de -2.52%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.
Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -4.07%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 23:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -4.07%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 23:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.18%E -2.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.18%E -2.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:07 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -5.44%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:56 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.16%EV -12.40%E -9.33%K -37.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.84%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-12 22:58 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (9)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.33% | 0.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79% | 2.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79% | 2.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.14% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.86% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 58.45% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 41.55% | 18.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)
Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.
| Casa de apostas | Opção 1 | Opção 2 | Opção 3 | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.33% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.66% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.87% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.48% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.38% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.14% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92% | 9.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.29% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.83% | 10.4% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71% | 11.0% | 2026-03-12 23:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.94% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44% | 13.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |