La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Tampa Bay Lightning v Detroit Red Wings
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Tampa Bay Lightning (Casa)
Previsione 65.86%1.52quota equa
EV -2.52%
Vantaggio -1.71%
Kelly -5.26%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.63%65.88%65.85%66.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.451.451.4875.19%69.02%68.97%67.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Detroit Red Wings (Trasferta)
Previsione 34.14%2.93quota equa
EV -2.71%
Vantaggio -0.950%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.41%34.12%34.15%35.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.782.802.8538.46%36.00%35.71%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -4.07%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 23:07 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -4.07%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 23:08 |
| BetUS | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.18%E -2.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.18%E -2.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| ReBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| GTbets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:07 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -5.44%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:08 |
| 888sport | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| Fliff | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Neds | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:56 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.16%EV -12.40%E -9.33%K -37.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.84%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-12 22:58 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (9)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.33% | 0.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79% | 2.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Novig | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79% | 2.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.14% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.86% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 58.45% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 41.55% | 18.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.33% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.66% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.87% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.48% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.38% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.14% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92% | 9.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.29% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.83% | 10.4% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71% | 11.0% | 2026-03-12 23:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.94% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44% | 13.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |