L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Tampa Bay Lightning v Detroit Red Wings
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)
Prévision 65.86%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -5.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.63%65.88%65.85%66.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.451.451.4875.19%69.02%68.97%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Detroit Red Wings (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.14%2.93cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -0.950%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.41%34.12%34.15%35.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.782.802.8538.46%36.00%35.71%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -4.07%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 23:07 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -4.07%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 23:08 |
| BetUS | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.52%E -1.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.18%E -2.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.18%E -2.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| ReBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.84%E -2.63%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| GTbets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:07 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -5.44%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:08 |
| 888sport | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| Fliff | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:06 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.46%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Neds | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.83%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.50%E -3.10%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.54%E -3.60%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.42%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.16%E -3.58%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.12%E -2.23%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.71%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:56 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.16%EV -12.40%E -9.33%K -37.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.84%EV -11.24%E -4.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-12 22:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.33% | 0.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79% | 2.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Novig | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79% | 2.7% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.14% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.86% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 58.45% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 41.55% | 18.0% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.33% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.66% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.87% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.48% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.38% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.14% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92% | 9.1% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.29% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.83% | 10.4% | 2026-03-12 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71% | 11.0% | 2026-03-12 23:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.94% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44% | 13.8% | 2026-03-12 23:10 |