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Pittsburgh Penguins v Winnipeg Jets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)
Prediction 58.71%1.70fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.75%58.81%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.631.651.6767.57%61.35%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Winnipeg Jets (Visit)
Prediction 41.29%2.42fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.471%
Kelly +0.796%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%41.25%41.19%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.312.332.4546.08%43.27%43.01%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Penguins (Local): 58.71%; Winnipeg Jets (Visit): 41.29%. For Winnipeg Jets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.15%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.15%E +0.471%K +0.796%G +0.009% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.15%E +0.471%K +0.796%G +0.009% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -8.41%E -5.39%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +1.15%E +0.471%K +0.796%G +0.009% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.910%E -0.379%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 15:52 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.15%E -0.907%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.15%E -0.907%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.15%E -0.907%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 15:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 15:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 17:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.21%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-20 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 15:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.71%E -2.26%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -2.96%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 17:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -13.11%E -8.85%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -10.41%E -4.80%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71% | -0.1% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 16:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.21% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.86% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.92% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.35% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.32% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47% | 13.6% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |