默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Penguins v Winnipeg Jets

开赛时间： 2026-03-21 17:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Penguins (主队)

预测 58.71%1.70公平赔率

EV -1.95%

优势 -1.17%

Kelly -2.91%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布

56.85%58.75%58.81%61.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.481.631.651.6767.57%61.35%60.61%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Winnipeg Jets (客队)

预测 41.29%2.42公平赔率

EV +1.15%

优势 +0.471%

Kelly +0.796%

增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布

38.90%41.25%41.19%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.172.312.332.4546.08%43.27%43.01%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pittsburgh Penguins (主队)：58.71%；Winnipeg Jets (客队)：41.29%。对于“Winnipeg Jets (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.42。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.45，对应+1.15%的正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
betPARX🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.15%E +0.471%K +0.796%G +0.009%	4.5%	2026-03-21 13:54
Bally Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.15%E +0.471%K +0.796%G +0.009%	4.5%	2026-03-21 13:54
BetRivers🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -8.41%E -5.39%K -15.01%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +1.15%E +0.471%K +0.796%G +0.009%	4.9%	2026-03-21 13:54
Caesars🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.910%E -0.379%K -0.650%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-21 15:52
Pinnacle🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.84%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.15%E -0.907%K -1.57%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-03-21 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.15%E -0.907%K -1.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-21 15:45
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.15%E -0.907%K -1.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-21 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-03-21 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-03-21 17:05
DraftKings🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-21 15:50
Everygame🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-21 16:34
GTbets🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-21 15:50
BetMGM🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-21 15:44
Betr (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-21 15:39
Fliff🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-21 14:55
BetUS🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-21 17:03
Bet Right🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.82%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-21 16:30
Bovada🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-03-21 17:00
BetAnything🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-03-21 17:04
ReBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.21%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-21 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-20 16:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-21 17:04
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-21 15:50
Neds🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-21 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-21 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.71%E -2.26%K -5.80%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-21 16:44
FanDuel🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.84%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -2.96%K -5.31%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-21 16:59
Paddy Power🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-21 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-21 16:59
PlayUp🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-21 17:04
NordicBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-21 17:05
Betsson🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-21 17:04
SportsBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-21 17:00
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-21 17:04
TAB🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-21 17:04
Bet Victor🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-21 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-21 17:03
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -13.11%E -8.85%K -27.30%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -10.41%E -4.80%K -8.89%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-03-21 16:54

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
ProphetX◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71%	-0.1%	2026-03-21 17:04
BetOpenly◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95%	2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05%	0.3%	2026-03-21 16:59
Kalshi◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	0.9%	2026-03-21 16:55
Polymarket◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	0.9%	2026-03-21 16:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%	1.2%	2026-03-21 17:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%	1.2%	2026-03-21 17:04
Novig◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%	1.6%	2026-03-21 17:04
Matchbook◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%	1.9%	2026-03-21 17:04
Smarkets◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%	7.8%	2026-03-21 17:04

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%	3.2%	2026-03-21 13:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%	3.2%	2026-03-21 13:54
Svenska Spel🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%	3.2%	2026-03-21 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%	3.2%	2026-03-21 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%	4.4%	2026-03-21 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%	3.04I 32.89%NM 31.42%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%	4.7%	2026-03-21 16:59
Coolbet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%	4.7%	2026-03-21 16:34
1xBet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.21%	3.09I 32.36%NM 30.86%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.92%	4.9%	2026-03-21 16:55
Unibet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%	5.4%	2026-03-21 13:54
Grosvenor🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%	5.4%	2026-03-21 13:54
Casumo🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%	5.4%	2026-03-21 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%	5.4%	2026-03-21 13:54
TABtouch🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%	6.5%	2026-03-21 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%	6.8%	2026-03-21 16:54
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%	7.3%	2026-03-21 16:59
LeoVegas🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%	7.5%	2026-03-21 13:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%	9.0%	2026-03-21 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%	9.0%	2026-03-21 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%	9.1%	2026-03-21 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.35%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%	4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%	10.6%	2026-03-21 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%	2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%	11.3%	2026-03-21 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 46.32%	2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%	13.6%	2026-03-21 17:00