La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Pittsburgh Penguins v Winnipeg Jets
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)
Predicción 58.71%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.75%58.81%61.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.631.651.6767.57%61.35%60.61%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Winnipeg Jets (Visitante)
Predicción 41.29%2.42momio equitativo
EV +1.15%
Ventaja +0.471%
Kelly +0.796%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.90%41.25%41.19%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.312.332.4546.08%43.27%43.01%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.15%E +0.471%K +0.796%G +0.009% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.15%E +0.471%K +0.796%G +0.009% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -8.41%E -5.39%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +1.15%E +0.471%K +0.796%G +0.009% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Caesars | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.910%E -0.379%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 15:52 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.15%E -0.907%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.15%E -0.907%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:45 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.15%E -0.907%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 17:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 15:50 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 15:39 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 17:03 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| ReBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.21%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-20 16:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 15:50 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 15:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.71%E -2.26%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 16:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -2.96%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 16:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:05 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 17:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -13.11%E -8.85%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -10.41%E -4.80%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71% | -0.1% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| BetOpenly | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 16:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 16:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.21% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.86% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.92% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:55 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 16:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.35% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 17:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.32% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47% | 13.6% | 2026-03-21 17:00 |