L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Penguins v Winnipeg Jets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 17:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)

Prévision 58.71%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.75%58.81%61.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.631.651.6767.57%61.35%60.61%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Winnipeg Jets (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.29%2.42cote équitable
EV +1.15%
Avantage +0.471%
Kelly +0.796%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%41.25%41.19%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.312.332.4546.08%43.27%43.01%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.15%E +0.471%K +0.796%G +0.009%4.5%2026-03-21 13:54
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.15%E +0.471%K +0.796%G +0.009%4.5%2026-03-21 13:54
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -8.41%E -5.39%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +1.15%E +0.471%K +0.796%G +0.009%4.9%2026-03-21 13:54
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.910%E -0.379%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 15:52
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.15%E -0.907%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-21 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.15%E -0.907%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 15:45
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.15%E -0.907%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 15:40
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 17:04
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 17:05
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 15:50
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 16:34
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 15:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 15:44
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:39
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:55
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 17:03
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 17:00
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 17:04
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.21%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 16:39
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 17:04
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 15:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 15:45
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.71%E -2.26%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:44
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -6.69%E -2.96%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 16:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 16:59
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 17:04
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:05
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:04
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:04
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:04
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:54
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:03
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -13.11%E -8.85%K -27.30%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -10.41%E -4.80%K -8.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 16:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71%-0.1%2026-03-21 17:04
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95%2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05%0.3%2026-03-21 16:59
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-21 16:55
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-21 16:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-03-21 17:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-03-21 17:04
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-03-21 17:04
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-03-21 17:04
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%7.8%2026-03-21 17:04

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-21 13:54
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-21 13:54
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-21 13:54
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-21 13:54
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%4.4%2026-03-21 17:05
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-03-21 16:59
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-03-21 16:34
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.21%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.86%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.92%4.9%2026-03-21 16:55
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-21 13:54
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-21 13:54
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-21 13:54
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-21 13:54
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-03-21 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-03-21 16:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%7.3%2026-03-21 16:59
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%7.5%2026-03-21 13:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-03-21 16:49
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-03-21 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%9.1%2026-03-21 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.35%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%10.6%2026-03-21 17:04
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%11.3%2026-03-21 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.32%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%13.6%2026-03-21 17:00