A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Flyers v Pittsburgh Penguins

Início: 2026-04-22 23:10 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Flyers 5–2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Previsão 49.96%2.00odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.798%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.82%50.07%50.00%51.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.901.901.9757.14%52.54%52.63%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Penguins (Visitante)

Previsão 50.04%2.00odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.68%49.93%50.00%51.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.911.911.9557.14%52.49%52.36%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.57%E -0.798%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-22 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.07%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 22:39
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.07%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 22:40
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 22:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:50
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 22:29
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 22:30
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 23:05
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.93%E -3.73%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:50
ReBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 22:55
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 22:39
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 22:40
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:40
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 22:55
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 21:35
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 13:24
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 22:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:45
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:35
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:55
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:50
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:50
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:50
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 22:44
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:55
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:59
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:59
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:03
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:59
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 15:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:00
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 15:59
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 22:50
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.56%E -7.18%K -16.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-22 22:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-04-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-04-22 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-04-22 23:05
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-22 23:05
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-22 23:05
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-22 23:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-22 20:25
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-22 22:50
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-04-22 23:05

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (21)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-04-22 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-04-22 22:40
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-04-22 22:39
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-04-22 22:40
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-04-22 23:00
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-22 22:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-22 22:54
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%5.0%2026-04-22 22:39
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%5.0%2026-04-22 22:40
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%5.0%2026-04-22 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%5.0%2026-04-22 22:40
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.4%2026-04-22 23:04
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%6.0%2026-04-22 23:05
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.6%2026-04-22 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.6%2026-04-22 22:55
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-22 09:30
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 38.35%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%7.3%2026-04-22 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%8.0%2026-04-22 23:01
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-22 23:05
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-22 23:05
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.42%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%12.2%2026-04-22 22:39