L’École des cotesFrançais
Philadelphia Flyers v Pittsburgh Penguins
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Philadelphia Flyers (Local)
Prévision 49.96%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.798%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.82%50.07%50.00%51.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.901.901.9757.14%52.54%52.63%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Pittsburgh Penguins (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.04%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.68%49.93%50.00%51.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.911.911.9557.14%52.49%52.36%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.57%E -0.798%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.07%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.07%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 22:29 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 22:30 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.93%E -3.73%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| ReBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 13:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 22:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 22:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 16:03 |
| GTbets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 16:00 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.56%E -7.18%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 20:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.3% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 23:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 22:54 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 09:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.35% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 23:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.42% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15% | 12.2% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |