La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Philadelphia Flyers v Pittsburgh Penguins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Flyers (Local)
Predicción 49.96%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.798%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.82%50.07%50.00%51.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.901.901.9757.14%52.54%52.63%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pittsburgh Penguins (Visitante)
Predicción 50.04%2.00momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%49.93%50.00%51.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.911.911.9557.14%52.49%52.36%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.57%E -0.798%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.07%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.07%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 22:29 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 22:30 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.93%E -3.73%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| ReBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 13:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 22:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 22:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 16:03 |
| GTbets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 16:00 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.56%E -7.18%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 20:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.3% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 23:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 22:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 22:54 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 09:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.35% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 23:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.42% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15% | 12.2% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |