La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Flyers v Pittsburgh Penguins

Inizio: 2026-04-22 23:10 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Flyers 5–2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Casa)

Previsione 49.96%2.00quota equa
EV -1.57%
Vantaggio -0.798%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.82%50.07%50.00%51.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.901.901.9757.14%52.54%52.63%50.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Penguins (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.04%2.00quota equa
EV -2.43%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.68%49.93%50.00%51.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.911.911.9557.14%52.49%52.36%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.57%E -0.798%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-22 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.07%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 22:39
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.07%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 22:40
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 22:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:50
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 22:29
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 22:30
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 23:05
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.93%E -3.73%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:50
ReBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 22:55
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 22:39
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 22:40
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:40
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 22:55
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 21:35
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 13:24
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 22:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:45
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:35
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:55
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:50
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:50
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:50
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 22:44
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:55
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:59
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:59
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:03
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:59
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 15:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:00
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 15:59
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 22:50
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.56%E -7.18%K -16.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.44%E -7.11%K -16.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-22 22:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-04-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-04-22 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-04-22 23:05
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-22 23:05
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-22 23:05
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-22 23:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-22 20:25
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-22 22:50
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-04-22 23:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-04-22 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-04-22 22:40
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-04-22 22:39
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-04-22 22:40
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-04-22 23:00
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-22 22:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-22 22:54
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%5.0%2026-04-22 22:39
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%5.0%2026-04-22 22:40
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%5.0%2026-04-22 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%5.0%2026-04-22 22:40
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.4%2026-04-22 23:04
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%6.0%2026-04-22 23:05
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.6%2026-04-22 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.6%2026-04-22 22:55
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-22 09:30
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 38.35%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%7.3%2026-04-22 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%8.0%2026-04-22 23:01
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-22 23:05
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-22 23:05
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.42%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%12.2%2026-04-22 22:39