La scuola delle quote

Ottawa Senators v Montréal Canadiens

Inizio: 2026-03-11 23:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ottawa Senators (Casa)

Previsione 62.97%1.59quota equa
EV -3.02%
Vantaggio -1.96%
Kelly -5.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.56%63.38%62.96%66.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.511.531.5472.46%66.20%65.36%64.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.03%2.70quota equa
EV +5.53%
Vantaggio +1.94%
Kelly +2.99%
Crescita +0.165%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.57%36.62%37.04%38.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.422.592.602.8541.32%38.57%38.46%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -9.32%E -6.47%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +5.53%E +1.94%K +2.99%G +0.165%4.5%2026-03-11 23:15
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.69%E -5.99%K -19.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +3.67%E +1.31%K +2.04%G +0.075%4.7%2026-03-11 23:09
Paddy Power1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.69%E -5.99%K -19.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +3.67%E +1.31%K +2.04%G +0.075%4.7%2026-03-11 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.69%E -5.99%K -19.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +3.67%E +1.31%K +2.04%G +0.075%4.7%2026-03-11 23:09
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -9.32%E -6.47%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +3.67%E +1.31%K +2.04%G +0.075%5.2%2026-03-11 23:09
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.88%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 15:15
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -2.25%E -0.852%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-11 22:59
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.62%E -0.996%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-11 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.62%E -0.996%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-11 23:09
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.62%E -0.996%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 23:19
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.99%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 23:19
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:19
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 23:05
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 22:44
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 14:50
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 23:20
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 23:20
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 23:19
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:19
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 14:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 15:20
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.47%E -1.73%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 19:49
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 18:50
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 18:54
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 18:55
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 15:14
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 16:15
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.91%E -3.25%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:19
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.91%E -3.25%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:20
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 23:09
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 23:09
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 23:09
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 23:09
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 23:14
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 14:40
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 15:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 23:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 14:40
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 14:39
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.68%EV -13.10%E -9.49%K -34.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.32%EV -10.40%E -4.30%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-11 23:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-11 23:20
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-11 23:19
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-11 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-11 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-11 23:19
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-11 23:20
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-11 15:05
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-11 19:34
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-03-11 23:19

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.74%3.1%2026-03-11 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-03-11 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-03-11 18:55
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-03-11 21:00
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-03-11 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%3.6%2026-03-11 23:19
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.02%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.27%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-03-11 23:19
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%4.8%2026-03-11 23:09
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-03-11 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-03-11 18:50
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-03-11 18:50
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%5.2%2026-03-11 18:55
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.4%2026-03-11 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%6.9%2026-03-11 23:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%7.7%2026-03-11 23:14
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%8.0%2026-03-11 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%8.8%2026-03-11 23:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-03-11 23:20
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%9.0%2026-03-11 23:19
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%10.9%2026-03-11 23:19
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%11.1%2026-03-11 23:18
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%14.3%2026-03-11 23:19