La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ottawa Senators v Montréal Canadiens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Predicción 62.97%1.59momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -5.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.56%63.38%62.96%66.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.511.531.5472.46%66.20%65.36%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Montréal Canadiens (Visitante)
Predicción 37.03%2.70momio equitativo
EV +5.53%
Ventaja +1.94%
Kelly +2.99%
Crecimiento +0.165%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.57%36.62%37.04%38.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.422.592.602.8541.32%38.57%38.46%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -9.32%E -6.47%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +5.53%E +1.94%K +2.99%G +0.165% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.69%E -5.99%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +3.67%E +1.31%K +2.04%G +0.075% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.69%E -5.99%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +3.67%E +1.31%K +2.04%G +0.075% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.69%E -5.99%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +3.67%E +1.31%K +2.04%G +0.075% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -9.32%E -6.47%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +3.67%E +1.31%K +2.04%G +0.075% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.88%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 15:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -2.25%E -0.852%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.62%E -0.996%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.62%E -0.996%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.62%E -0.996%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.99%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 14:50 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 15:20 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.47%E -1.73%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 19:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| betPARX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 18:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 15:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 16:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.91%E -3.25%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betsson | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.91%E -3.25%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 14:40 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 23:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 14:40 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 14:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.68%EV -13.10%E -9.49%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.32%EV -10.40%E -4.30%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| ProphetX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-11 15:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-11 19:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.74% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45% | 3.6% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.02% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.27% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98% | 10.9% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95% | 11.1% | 2026-03-11 23:18 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34% | 14.3% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |