L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Ottawa Senators v Montréal Canadiens
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Prévision 62.97%1.59cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -5.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.56%63.38%62.96%66.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.511.531.5472.46%66.20%65.36%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Montréal Canadiens (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.03%2.70cote équitable
EV +5.53%
Avantage +1.94%
Kelly +2.99%
Croissance +0.165%
avec la cote maximale 2.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.57%36.62%37.04%38.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.422.592.602.8541.32%38.57%38.46%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -9.32%E -6.47%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +5.53%E +1.94%K +2.99%G +0.165% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.69%E -5.99%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +3.67%E +1.31%K +2.04%G +0.075% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.69%E -5.99%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +3.67%E +1.31%K +2.04%G +0.075% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.69%E -5.99%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +3.67%E +1.31%K +2.04%G +0.075% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -9.32%E -6.47%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +3.67%E +1.31%K +2.04%G +0.075% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.88%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 15:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -2.25%E -0.852%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.62%E -0.996%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.62%E -0.996%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.62%E -0.996%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.99%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 14:50 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.73%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 15:20 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.47%E -1.73%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 19:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| betPARX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.02%E -1.96%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 18:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 15:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 16:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.91%E -3.25%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betsson | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.91%E -3.25%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.58%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 14:40 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.28%E -2.82%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 23:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 14:40 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.65%E -2.39%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 14:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.68%EV -13.10%E -9.49%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.32%EV -10.40%E -4.30%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| ProphetX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-11 15:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-11 19:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.74% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45% | 3.6% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.02% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.27% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98% | 10.9% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95% | 11.1% | 2026-03-11 23:18 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34% | 14.3% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |