语言:简体中文
Montréal Canadiens v Tampa Bay Lightning
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Montréal Canadiens (主队)
预测 47.82%2.09公平赔率
EV -2.44%
优势 -1.20%
Kelly -2.35%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.04
博彩公司预测分布
47.37%47.96%47.78%48.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.982.002.0454.64%50.39%50.00%49.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
Tampa Bay Lightning (客队)
预测 52.18%1.92公平赔率
EV -1.38%
优势 -0.731%
Kelly -1.55%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.89
博彩公司预测分布
51.04%52.04%52.22%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.831.831.8958.82%54.67%54.64%52.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Montréal Canadiens (主队)：47.82%；Tampa Bay Lightning (客队)：52.18%。 对于“Tampa Bay Lightning (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.89，期望值为-1.38%，未产生正期望值。
有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.44%E -1.20%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.03%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 18:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 03:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 17:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 03:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.84%E -2.43%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -1.38%E -0.731%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 07:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -1.38%E -0.731%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 07:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.90%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.90%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -8.69%E -4.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.49%E -6.82%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.30%E -6.64%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 18:18 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 23:59 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.49% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.06% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.50% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.64% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |