La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Montréal Canadiens v Tampa Bay Lightning
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Montréal Canadiens (Casa)
Previsione 47.82%2.09quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.04
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%47.96%47.78%48.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.982.002.0454.64%50.39%50.00%49.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Tampa Bay Lightning (Trasferta)
Previsione 52.18%1.92quota equa
EV -1.38%
Vantaggio -0.731%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.04%52.04%52.22%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.831.831.8958.82%54.67%54.64%52.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.44%E -1.20%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.03%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 18:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 03:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 17:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 03:39 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.84%E -2.43%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -1.38%E -0.731%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 07:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -1.38%E -0.731%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 07:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| ReBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:38 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:38 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 16:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.90%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.90%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -8.69%E -4.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.49%E -6.82%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.30%E -6.64%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 18:18 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Novig | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Polymarket | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 23:59 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.49% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.06% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.50% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:24 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Betway | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.64% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |