A Escola das Odds

Montréal Canadiens v Tampa Bay Lightning

Início: 2026-04-24 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Local)

Previsão 47.82%2.09odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%47.96%47.78%48.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.982.002.0454.64%50.39%50.00%49.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tampa Bay Lightning (Visitante)

Previsão 52.18%1.92odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.731%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.04%52.04%52.22%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.831.831.8958.82%54.67%54.64%52.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.44%E -1.20%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 00:05
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.03%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 02:59
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 18:24
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 03:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 05:00
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-24 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 11:19
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 11:19
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 05:00
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 02:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 05:00
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 02:59
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 03:29
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 04:15
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 17:19
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 08:29
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-24 00:05
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 03:39
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 00:00
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.84%E -2.43%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 05:00
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -1.38%E -0.731%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 07:19
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -1.38%E -0.731%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 07:19
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:39
ReBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:04
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:50
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:38
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:38
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 16:00
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.90%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 18:19
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.90%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 18:19
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:34
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -8.69%E -4.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 18:40
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.49%E -6.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.30%E -6.64%K -16.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 18:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-23 22:35
Novig2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%0.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-23 20:59
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-23 23:10
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-24 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-23 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-23 20:59
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-04-23 23:59

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (21)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-04-23 18:19
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-04-23 18:19
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-04-23 18:19
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-04-23 18:19
1xBet2.66I 37.59%NM 36.49%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.06%3.0%2026-04-24 00:04
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.50%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-04-24 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-04-23 23:00
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-04-23 13:24
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26%4.9%2026-04-23 18:19
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26%4.9%2026-04-23 18:19
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26%4.9%2026-04-23 18:19
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26%4.9%2026-04-23 18:19
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%6.2%2026-04-23 18:34
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-04-23 16:05
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%6.8%2026-04-23 18:19
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%7.3%2026-04-23 18:19
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%7.7%2026-04-23 23:04
Betclic (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%7.9%2026-04-23 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%8.5%2026-04-23 18:35
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%10.9%2026-04-23 23:05
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.64%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%12.3%2026-04-23 18:19