Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Montréal Canadiens v Tampa Bay Lightning
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Montréal Canadiens (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 47.82%2.09kurs godziwy
EV -2.44%
Przewaga -1.20%
Kelly -2.35%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.04
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.37%47.96%47.78%48.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.831.982.002.0454.64%50.39%50.00%49.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tampa Bay Lightning (Goście)
Prognoza 52.18%1.92kurs godziwy
EV -1.38%
Przewaga -0.731%
Kelly -1.55%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.89
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.04%52.04%52.22%52.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.701.831.831.8958.82%54.67%54.64%52.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
21 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (37 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.44%E -1.20%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.03%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 18:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 03:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 17:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 03:39 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.84%E -2.43%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 05:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -1.38%E -0.731%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 07:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -1.38%E -0.731%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 07:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| ReBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:38 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:38 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 16:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.90%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.90%E -1.01%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -8.69%E -4.96%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.49%E -6.82%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.30%E -6.64%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 18:18 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Novig | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Polymarket | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 23:59 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (21)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.49% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.06% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.48% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.50% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:24 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Betway | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.64% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |