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Montréal Canadiens v Anaheim Ducks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Prediction 56.06%1.78fair odd
EV -0.768%
Edge -0.434%
Kelly -0.997%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%56.31%56.04%58.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.701.701.7765.36%58.93%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anaheim Ducks (Visit)
Prediction 43.94%2.28fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.833%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.12%43.69%43.96%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.182.192.3248.31%45.79%45.77%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montréal Canadiens (Local): 56.06%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 43.94%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +1.93%E +0.833%K +1.46%G +0.028% | 2.6% | 2026-03-15 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +1.93%E +0.833%K +1.46%G +0.028% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.05%E +0.458%K +0.811%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.05%E +0.458%K +0.811%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -0.703%E -0.311%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.14%E -0.508%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.14%E -0.508%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.58%E -0.706%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 23:01 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 23:03 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.22%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.66%E -2.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.33%E -0.755%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.10%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.33%E -0.755%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.10%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 23:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 14:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.41%E -3.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.41%E -3.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.85%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.768%E -0.434%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.768%E -0.434%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -14.22%E -9.30%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -9.05%E -4.37%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 22:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 22:57 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 22:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 23:02 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.81% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.97% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.64% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 20:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.41% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.57% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 23:03 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.95% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.47% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 23:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.79% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.07% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.55% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.41% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.64% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 22:54 |