La scuola delle quote

Montréal Canadiens v Anaheim Ducks

Inizio: 2026-03-15 23:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Casa)

Previsione 56.06%1.78quota equa
EV -0.768%
Vantaggio -0.434%
Kelly -0.997%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.26%56.31%56.04%58.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.701.701.7765.36%58.93%58.82%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anaheim Ducks (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.94%2.28quota equa
EV +1.93%
Vantaggio +0.833%
Kelly +1.46%
Crescita +0.028%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.12%43.69%43.96%45.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.182.192.3248.31%45.79%45.77%43.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +1.93%E +0.833%K +1.46%G +0.028%2.6%2026-03-15 22:55
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +1.93%E +0.833%K +1.46%G +0.028%4.8%2026-03-15 22:55
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.05%E +0.458%K +0.811%G +0.009%4.1%2026-03-14 21:50
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.05%E +0.458%K +0.811%G +0.009%4.1%2026-03-14 21:50
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -0.703%E -0.311%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 22:59
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.14%E -0.508%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 23:05
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.14%E -0.508%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 15:35
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.58%E -0.706%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 22:50
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 23:00
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 23:05
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 14:50
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 14:45
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:05
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:00
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 23:01
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 23:03
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 23:05
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.22%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 23:05
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.66%E -2.15%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 22:59
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.33%E -0.755%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.10%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.33%E -0.755%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.10%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 23:00
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 23:04
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 23:00
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 14:49
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 14:45
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 23:05
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.41%E -3.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.41%E -3.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:05
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.85%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:05
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.768%E -0.434%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.768%E -0.434%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 23:00
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:05
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 23:05
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -14.22%E -9.30%K -26.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -9.05%E -4.37%K -8.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 22:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-03-15 23:05
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-03-15 22:57
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-03-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-03-15 23:05
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-03-15 23:05
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-15 22:50
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-03-15 23:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-15 23:00
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-03-15 23:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%3.3%2026-03-15 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%3.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%3.3%2026-03-15 12:20
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%3.3%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%3.7%2026-03-15 23:02
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-03-15 22:59
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%4.8%2026-03-15 22:59
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.97%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.64%4.8%2026-03-15 22:59
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-03-15 12:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-03-15 12:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-03-15 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-03-15 20:05
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%7.1%2026-03-15 12:20
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 47.41%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%7.6%2026-03-15 12:19
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.57%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%8.4%2026-03-15 23:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%8.6%2026-03-15 23:03
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.95%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%8.7%2026-03-15 23:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.79%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.07%9.2%2026-03-15 22:59
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.55%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%9.2%2026-03-15 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.41%10.1%2026-03-15 23:05
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.64%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%11.2%2026-03-15 22:54