La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Montréal Canadiens v Anaheim Ducks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Predicción 56.06%1.78momio equitativo
EV -0.768%
Ventaja -0.434%
Kelly -0.997%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.26%56.31%56.04%58.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.701.701.7765.36%58.93%58.82%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anaheim Ducks (Visitante)
Predicción 43.94%2.28momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +0.833%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.12%43.69%43.96%45.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.182.192.3248.31%45.79%45.77%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +1.93%E +0.833%K +1.46%G +0.028% | 2.6% | 2026-03-15 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +1.93%E +0.833%K +1.46%G +0.028% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.05%E +0.458%K +0.811%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.05%E +0.458%K +0.811%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| ReBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -0.703%E -0.311%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.14%E -0.508%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.14%E -0.508%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.58%E -0.706%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 22:50 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Everygame | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 23:01 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 23:03 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.22%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.66%E -2.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.33%E -0.755%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.10%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.33%E -0.755%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.10%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 23:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 14:49 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.41%E -3.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.41%E -3.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.85%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.768%E -0.434%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.768%E -0.434%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -14.22%E -9.30%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -9.05%E -4.37%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 22:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 22:57 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 22:50 |
| BetOpenly | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 23:02 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.81% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.97% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.64% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 20:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.41% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.57% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 23:03 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.95% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.47% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 23:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.79% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.07% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.55% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.41% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.64% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 22:54 |