L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Montréal Canadiens v Anaheim Ducks
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Prévision 56.06%1.78cote équitable
EV -0.768%
Avantage -0.434%
Kelly -0.997%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.26%56.31%56.04%58.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.701.701.7765.36%58.93%58.82%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Anaheim Ducks (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.94%2.28cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +0.833%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.028%
avec la cote maximale 2.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.12%43.69%43.96%45.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.182.192.3248.31%45.79%45.77%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +1.93%E +0.833%K +1.46%G +0.028% | 2.6% | 2026-03-15 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +1.93%E +0.833%K +1.46%G +0.028% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.05%E +0.458%K +0.811%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.05%E +0.458%K +0.811%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| ReBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -0.703%E -0.311%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.14%E -0.508%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.14%E -0.508%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.58%E -0.706%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 22:50 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Everygame | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 23:01 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 23:03 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.22%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.66%E -2.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.33%E -0.755%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.10%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -1.33%E -0.755%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.10%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 23:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 14:49 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.98%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.41%E -3.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.41%E -3.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.85%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.768%E -0.434%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.768%E -0.434%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -14.22%E -9.30%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -9.05%E -4.37%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 22:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 22:57 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 22:50 |
| BetOpenly | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 23:02 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.81% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.97% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.64% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 20:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 12:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.41% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.57% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 23:03 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.95% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.47% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 23:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.79% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.07% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.55% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.41% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.64% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 22:54 |