Language:English
Detroit Red Wings v Montréal Canadiens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Red Wings (Local)
Prediction 48.97%2.04fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.890%
Kelly +1.71%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%48.84%48.95%50.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.951.952.0856.18%51.40%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Montréal Canadiens (Visit)
Prediction 51.03%1.96fair odd
EV -0.996%
Edge -0.513%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.08%51.16%51.05%54.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.861.871.9457.80%53.70%53.48%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Red Wings (Local): 48.97%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 51.03%. For Detroit Red Wings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.85%E +0.890%K +1.71%G +0.032% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.85%E +0.890%K +1.71%G +0.032% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.382%E +0.186%K +0.364%G +0.001% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 23:06 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.61%E -3.61%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 23:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.61%E -3.61%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 23:07 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:06 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 23:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.00%E -2.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.00%E -2.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.55%E -1.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 23:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 23:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 22:57 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -8.43%E -4.51%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -0.996%E -0.513%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.43%E -4.51%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.04%E -1.60%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 23:08 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.84%E -7.21%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -11.71%E -6.77%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-19 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75% | 0.0% | 2026-03-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37% | 10.0% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37% | 10.0% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.01% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 22:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.78% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.11% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.92% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 23:01 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 23:07 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11% | 10.9% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.77% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34% | 14.3% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |