A Escola das Odds

Detroit Red Wings v Montréal Canadiens

Início: 2026-03-19 23:14 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Previsão 48.97%2.04odd justa
EV +1.85%
Vantagem +0.890%
Kelly +1.71%
Crescimento +0.032%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.69%48.84%48.95%50.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.951.952.0856.18%51.40%51.28%48.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Montréal Canadiens (Visitante)

Previsão 51.03%1.96odd justa
EV -0.996%
Vantagem -0.513%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.08%51.16%51.05%54.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.861.871.9457.80%53.70%53.48%51.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.85%E +0.890%K +1.71%G +0.032%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:09
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.85%E +0.890%K +1.71%G +0.032%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.382%E +0.186%K +0.364%G +0.001%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 23:10
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 23:09
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 23:09
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 23:06
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.61%E -3.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:08
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.61%E -3.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:07
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:08
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:10
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:09
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:09
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:09
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:06
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:09
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:08
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:09
ReBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.00%E -2.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 22:59
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.00%E -2.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:09
Everygame1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.55%E -1.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:06
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:05
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:01
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:09
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 23:09
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 23:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:09
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:09
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:57
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 23:10
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -8.43%E -4.51%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -0.996%E -0.513%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.43%E -4.51%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:09
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.04%E -1.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 23:08
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.84%E -7.21%K -16.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -11.71%E -6.77%K -16.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-19 22:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%0.0%2026-03-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-03-19 23:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-19 23:09
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-19 23:10
Novig1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%5.0%2026-03-19 23:10
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%6.8%2026-03-19 23:10
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%8.4%2026-03-19 23:10
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%10.0%2026-03-19 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%10.0%2026-03-19 23:10

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-03-19 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-03-19 23:09
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-03-19 23:09
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-03-19 23:09
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.5%2026-03-19 23:10
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.01%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%4.6%2026-03-19 22:58
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12%4.9%2026-03-19 22:59
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-19 23:10
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-19 23:09
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-19 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-19 23:09
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.7%2026-03-19 23:09
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.78%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%6.1%2026-03-19 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-03-19 23:10
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-19 23:10
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-03-19 23:09
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 38.11%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-19 23:01
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-03-19 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%9.3%2026-03-19 23:09
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%10.4%2026-03-19 23:07
Unibet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%10.9%2026-03-19 23:09
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.77%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%14.3%2026-03-19 23:10