L’École des cotes

Detroit Red Wings v Montréal Canadiens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 23:14 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prévision 48.97%2.04cote équitable
EV +1.85%
Avantage +0.890%
Kelly +1.71%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.69%48.84%48.95%50.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.951.952.0856.18%51.40%51.28%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Montréal Canadiens (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.03%1.96cote équitable
EV -0.996%
Avantage -0.513%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.08%51.16%51.05%54.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.861.871.9457.80%53.70%53.48%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.85%E +0.890%K +1.71%G +0.032%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:09
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.85%E +0.890%K +1.71%G +0.032%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.382%E +0.186%K +0.364%G +0.001%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 23:10
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 23:09
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 23:09
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 23:06
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.61%E -3.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:08
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.61%E -3.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 23:07
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:08
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:10
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:09
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:09
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:09
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:06
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:09
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:08
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:09
ReBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.00%E -2.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 22:59
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.00%E -2.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:09
Everygame1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.55%E -1.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:06
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:05
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:01
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:09
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 23:09
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 23:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:09
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:09
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:57
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 23:10
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -8.43%E -4.51%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -0.996%E -0.513%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.43%E -4.51%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:09
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.04%E -1.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 23:08
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.84%E -7.21%K -16.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -11.71%E -6.77%K -16.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-19 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%0.0%2026-03-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-03-19 23:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-19 23:09
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-19 23:10
Novig1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%5.0%2026-03-19 23:10
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%6.8%2026-03-19 23:10
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%8.4%2026-03-19 23:10
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%10.0%2026-03-19 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%10.0%2026-03-19 23:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-03-19 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-03-19 23:09
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-03-19 23:09
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-03-19 23:09
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.5%2026-03-19 23:10
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.01%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%4.6%2026-03-19 22:58
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12%4.9%2026-03-19 22:59
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-19 23:10
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-19 23:09
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-19 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-19 23:09
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.7%2026-03-19 23:09
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.78%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%6.1%2026-03-19 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-03-19 23:10
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-19 23:10
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-03-19 23:09
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 38.11%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-19 23:01
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-03-19 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%9.3%2026-03-19 23:09
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%10.4%2026-03-19 23:07
Unibet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%10.9%2026-03-19 23:09
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.77%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%14.3%2026-03-19 23:10