La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Detroit Red Wings v Montréal Canadiens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Detroit Red Wings (Local)
Predicción 48.97%2.04momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.890%
Kelly +1.71%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.69%48.84%48.95%50.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.951.952.0856.18%51.40%51.28%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Montréal Canadiens (Visitante)
Predicción 51.03%1.96momio equitativo
EV -0.996%
Ventaja -0.513%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.08%51.16%51.05%54.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.861.871.9457.80%53.70%53.48%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.85%E +0.890%K +1.71%G +0.032% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.85%E +0.890%K +1.71%G +0.032% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +0.382%E +0.186%K +0.364%G +0.001% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.69%E -6.11%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 23:06 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.61%E -3.61%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 23:08 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.61%E -3.61%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 23:07 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:08 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:06 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 23:08 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| ReBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.00%E -2.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.00%E -2.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Everygame | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.55%E -1.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 23:06 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.06%E -2.16%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 23:01 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.98%E -3.12%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.59%E -3.02%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 22:57 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| GTbets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -8.43%E -4.51%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -0.996%E -0.513%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.43%E -4.51%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.04%E -1.60%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 23:08 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.84%E -7.21%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -11.71%E -6.77%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-19 22:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75% | 0.0% | 2026-03-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Polymarket | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Novig | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37% | 10.0% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37% | 10.0% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.01% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 22:58 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.78% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.11% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.92% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 23:01 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 23:07 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11% | 10.9% | 2026-03-19 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.77% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34% | 14.3% | 2026-03-19 23:10 |