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Calgary Flames v Utah Mammoth
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Calgary Flames (Local)
Prediction 40.22%2.49fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.595%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%40.20%40.15%41.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.382.4545.45%42.21%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Utah Mammoth (Visit)
Prediction 59.78%1.67fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.94%59.80%59.85%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.601.601.6568.03%62.51%62.31%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Flames (Local): 40.22%; Utah Mammoth (Visit): 59.78%. For Utah Mammoth (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.65, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 23:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 01:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.37%E -0.828%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 00:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 23:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 15:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.08%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 02:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.08%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.56%E -1.57%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.28%E -2.70%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.28%E -2.70%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 00:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -11.51%E -5.23%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -12.13%E -8.25%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05% | 2.2% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.89% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.03% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 9.1% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71% | 12.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96% | 13.9% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |