La scuola delle quote

Calgary Flames v Utah Mammoth

Inizio: 2026-04-13 01:14 UTC

Finale: Calgary Flames 4–1 Utah Mammoth

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Calgary Flames (Casa)

Previsione 40.22%2.49quota equa
EV -1.46%
Vantaggio -0.595%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.90%40.20%40.15%41.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.372.382.4545.45%42.21%42.02%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Utah Mammoth (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.78%1.67quota equa
EV -1.37%
Vantaggio -0.828%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.94%59.80%59.85%61.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.601.601.6568.03%62.51%62.31%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:29
LowVig.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 23:40
BetOnline.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 23:40
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 23:30
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 23:39
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 01:01
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.37%E -0.828%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-13 00:55
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 00:50
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 23:44
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 01:00
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 01:04
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 01:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:09
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 01:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 15:04
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 01:05
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 01:00
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 01:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 01:05
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.08%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 02:45
SportsBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.08%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 01:00
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 00:59
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 01:00
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 01:00
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 15:05
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 01:04
ReBet2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.56%E -1.57%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 00:59
MyBookie.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 00:49
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.28%E -2.70%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 01:04
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.28%E -2.70%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 01:04
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:54
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:48
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 01:04
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 00:09
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -11.51%E -5.23%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -12.13%E -8.25%K -25.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-13 00:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-13 00:59
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-13 01:05
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-13 01:05
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-04-13 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-04-13 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-04-13 01:05
Novig2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%2.2%2026-04-13 01:05
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-04-13 01:00
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%3.4%2026-04-13 01:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-04-13 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-04-13 01:00
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-04-13 01:00
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-04-13 01:00
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%4.5%2026-04-13 00:59
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.03%4.8%2026-04-13 00:59
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%5.0%2026-04-13 01:04
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-04-13 01:00
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.3%2026-04-13 01:00
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-04-13 01:00
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-04-13 01:00
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-04-13 01:00
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%6.8%2026-04-13 01:00
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-04-12 23:59
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%7.3%2026-04-13 01:00
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%8.2%2026-04-13 01:05
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%8.2%2026-04-13 00:49
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%8.4%2026-04-13 01:04
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%8.7%2026-04-13 01:04
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%9.1%2026-04-13 01:00
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%12.3%2026-04-13 01:00
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%13.9%2026-04-13 01:04