L’École des cotesFrançais
Calgary Flames v Utah Mammoth
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Calgary Flames (Local)
Prévision 40.22%2.49cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.595%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%40.20%40.15%41.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.372.382.4545.45%42.21%42.02%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Utah Mammoth (Visiteur)
Prévision 59.78%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.828%
Kelly -2.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.94%59.80%59.85%61.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.601.601.6568.03%62.51%62.31%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| Caesars | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 23:30 |
| BetUS | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 23:39 |
| Bovada | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 01:01 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.37%E -0.828%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 00:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 23:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| GTbets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 15:04 |
| Fliff | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.08%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 02:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.08%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 15:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| ReBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.56%E -1.57%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.28%E -2.70%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Betsson | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.28%E -2.70%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 00:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 00:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -11.51%E -5.23%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -12.13%E -8.25%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| Kalshi | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Novig | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05% | 2.2% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.89% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.03% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 23:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 9.1% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71% | 12.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96% | 13.9% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |