مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Calgary Flames v Utah Mammoth
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Calgary Flames (المضيف)
التنبؤ 40.22%2.49السعر العادل
EV -1.46%
الأفضلية -0.595%
Kelly -1.01%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.90%40.20%40.15%41.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.372.382.4545.45%42.21%42.02%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Utah Mammoth (الضيف)
التنبؤ 59.78%1.67السعر العادل
EV -1.37%
الأفضلية -0.828%
Kelly -2.10%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.94%59.80%59.85%61.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.601.601.6568.03%62.51%62.31%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعرض 22 شركة مراهنات عددًا مختلفًا من الخيارات لهذا السوق (سوق بعدد نتائج قدره 3 مقابل سوق بعدد نتائج قدره 2 المستخدم في التحليل). ينبغي تفسير نتائج التحليل بحذر بسبب هذا التفاوت.
أسعار شركات المراهنات (38 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.46%E -0.595%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.75%E -4.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| Caesars | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.26%E -0.931%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 23:30 |
| BetUS | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 23:39 |
| Bovada | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 01:01 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.37%E -0.828%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 00:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 23:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| GTbets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 15:04 |
| Fliff | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.08%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 02:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.08%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 15:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| ReBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.56%E -1.57%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.28%E -2.70%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Betsson | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.28%E -2.70%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 00:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 00:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -11.51%E -5.23%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -12.13%E -8.25%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (9)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| Kalshi | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 1.3% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Novig | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05% | 2.2% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
شركات مراهنات أخرى — غير مشمولة في التحليل (22)
تعرض هذه الشركات عددًا مختلفًا من الخيارات لهذا السوق، ولذلك استُبعدت من التحليل. وتُعرض أسعارها للرجوع إليها فقط؛ فقد تختلف قواعد تسوية رهاناتها وتنطوي على قدر إضافي من عدم اليقين.
| شركة المراهنات | الخيار 1 | الخيار 2 | الخيار 3 | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.89% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.03% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 23:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 9.1% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71% | 12.3% | 2026-04-13 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96% | 13.9% | 2026-04-13 01:04 |