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Buffalo Sabres v Montréal Canadiens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prediction 50.97%1.96fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.00%51.05%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.871.871.9458.48%53.58%53.48%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Montréal Canadiens (Visit)
Prediction 49.03%2.04fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.973%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.00%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.941.952.0055.25%51.54%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 50.97%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 49.03%. For Buffalo Sabres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.94, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38%EV -1.11%E -0.574%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -2.44%E -1.22%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 21:26 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 21:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.19%E -2.79%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.93%E -1.48%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 21:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 21:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.95%E -0.973%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 23:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.25%E -4.58%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 22:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.84%E -7.51%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -11.26%E -6.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-05-14 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13% | 1.8% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.06% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.17% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.34% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.63% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81% | 6.6% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 23:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82% | 7.7% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 22:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.09% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77% | 12.2% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |