La scuola delle quote

Buffalo Sabres v Montréal Canadiens

Inizio: 2026-05-14 23:10 UTC

Finale: Buffalo Sabres 3–6 Montréal Canadiens

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Casa)

Previsione 50.97%1.96quota equa
EV -1.11%
Vantaggio -0.574%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.00%51.05%52.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.871.871.9458.48%53.58%53.48%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.03%2.04quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -0.973%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.78%49.00%48.95%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.941.952.0055.25%51.54%51.28%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38%EV -1.11%E -0.574%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 22:40
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 22:40
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -2.44%E -1.22%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 23:00
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 22:50
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 22:55
FanDuel1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 22:50
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:05
ReBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 22:50
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 22:50
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:50
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 22:45
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 22:30
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:45
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:45
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:30
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:25
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 21:26
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 21:30
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.19%E -2.79%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 22:50
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.93%E -1.48%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:35
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:35
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:24
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 22:35
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 21:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 21:34
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 21:30
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.95%E -0.973%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:04
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 23:04
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.25%E -4.58%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 22:49
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.84%E -7.51%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -11.26%E -6.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-14 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-14 22:59
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-14 23:05
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-14 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-05-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-05-14 23:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-14 23:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-14 23:05
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-05-14 23:05
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-14 22:45

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-05-14 22:59
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.34%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.63%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-05-14 22:50
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97%4.7%2026-05-14 23:00
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%5.1%2026-05-13 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%5.4%2026-05-14 23:05
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%5.4%2026-05-14 23:05
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%5.4%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%5.4%2026-05-14 23:05
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%6.2%2026-05-14 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%6.6%2026-05-14 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-05-13 14:35
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-05-14 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-05-14 23:01
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-05-14 23:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%7.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%8.7%2026-05-14 22:49
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.09%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%12.2%2026-05-14 23:05