L’École des cotesBuffalo Sabres v Montréal Canadiens
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prévision 50.97%1.96cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.574%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.00%51.05%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.871.871.9458.48%53.58%53.48%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Montréal Canadiens (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.03%2.04cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.973%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%49.00%48.95%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.941.952.0055.25%51.54%51.28%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38%EV -1.11%E -0.574%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 22:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -2.44%E -1.22%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| ReBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 22:30 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:25 |
| GTbets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 21:26 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 21:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.19%E -2.79%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.93%E -1.48%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:35 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:35 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 22:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 22:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 21:30 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 21:34 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 21:30 |
| Caesars | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.95%E -0.973%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 23:04 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 23:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.25%E -4.58%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 22:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.84%E -7.51%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -11.26%E -6.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-05-14 22:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13% | 1.8% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.06% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.17% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.34% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.63% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81% | 6.6% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 14:35 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 23:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82% | 7.7% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 22:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.09% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77% | 12.2% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |