默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Buffalo Sabres v Montréal Canadiens

开赛时间: 2026-05-14 23:10 UTC

最终结果: Buffalo Sabres 3–6 Montréal Canadiens

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Buffalo Sabres (主队)

预测 50.97%1.96公平赔率
EV -1.11%
优势 -0.574%
Kelly -1.18%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.94

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.00%51.05%52.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.871.871.9458.48%53.58%53.48%51.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

Montréal Canadiens (客队)

预测 49.03%2.04公平赔率
EV -1.95%
优势 -0.973%
Kelly -1.95%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
47.78%49.00%48.95%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.811.941.952.0055.25%51.54%51.28%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Buffalo Sabres (主队):50.97%;Montréal Canadiens (客队):49.03%。 对于“Buffalo Sabres (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.96。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.94,期望值为-1.11%,未产生正期望值。

有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38%EV -1.11%E -0.574%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -2.44%E -1.22%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 23:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 22:50
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:05
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 22:45
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 22:30
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:45
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:25
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 21:26
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.19%E -2.79%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.93%E -1.48%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:25
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:35
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:35
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.42%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 22:24
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 21:30
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 21:34
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 22:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 21:30
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.95%E -0.973%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:04
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.72%E -3.67%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 23:04
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.25%E -4.58%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 22:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.84%E -7.51%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -11.26%E -6.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-14 23:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-14 22:59
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-14 23:05
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-14 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-05-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-05-14 23:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-14 23:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-14 23:05
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-05-14 23:05
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-14 22:45

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-05-14 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.34%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.63%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-05-14 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97%4.7%2026-05-14 23:00
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%5.1%2026-05-13 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%5.4%2026-05-14 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%5.4%2026-05-14 23:05
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%5.4%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%5.4%2026-05-14 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%6.2%2026-05-14 22:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%6.6%2026-05-14 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-05-13 14:35
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-05-14 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-05-14 23:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-05-14 23:00
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%7.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%8.7%2026-05-14 22:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.09%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%12.2%2026-05-14 23:05