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Anaheim Ducks v Vegas Golden Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anaheim Ducks (Local)
Prediction 49.91%2.00fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%49.83%50.00%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.911.911.9657.14%52.40%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)
Prediction 50.09%2.00fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%50.17%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.901.911.9657.14%52.55%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 49.91%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 50.09%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.96, with an expected value of -1.82%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.11%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.82%E -0.928%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 22:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.18%E -1.11%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 08:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 08:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.32%E -2.82%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 04:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 12:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 12:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 05:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 04:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 04:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 04:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 19:32 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 06:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 05:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 00:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 13:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.82%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.82%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 04:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 05:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.66%E -7.24%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.34%E -7.05%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-08 21:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25% | 0.0% | 2026-05-09 00:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.48% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.68% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.84% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.58% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 09:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 00:03 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 12:43 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.95% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.28% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77% | 12.6% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |