La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Anaheim Ducks v Vegas Golden Knights
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anaheim Ducks (Local)
Predicción 49.91%2.00momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.95%49.83%50.00%51.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.911.911.9657.14%52.40%52.36%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vegas Golden Knights (Visitante)
Predicción 50.09%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.928%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.41%50.17%50.00%51.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.901.911.9657.14%52.55%52.36%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.11%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.82%E -0.928%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 22:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.18%E -1.11%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 23:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 08:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 08:14 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:51 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.32%E -2.82%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 04:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 14:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 12:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 05:00 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 04:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 04:59 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 04:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 19:32 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 06:49 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 05:54 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 17:24 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 00:03 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 13:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 14:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.82%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Betsson | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.82%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| ReBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 04:50 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:44 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 19:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 05:00 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.66%E -7.24%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.34%E -7.05%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-08 21:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25% | 0.0% | 2026-05-09 00:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Polymarket | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| ProphetX | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.48% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.68% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.84% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Coolbet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.58% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 09:54 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 00:03 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 12:43 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.95% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.28% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77% | 12.6% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |