A Escola das Odds

Anaheim Ducks v Vegas Golden Knights

Início: 2026-05-09 01:50 UTC

Final: Anaheim Ducks 2–6 Vegas Golden Knights

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Previsão 49.91%2.00odd justa
EV -2.18%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.95%49.83%50.00%51.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.911.911.9657.14%52.40%52.36%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vegas Golden Knights (Visitante)

Previsão 50.09%2.00odd justa
EV -1.82%
Vantagem -0.928%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%50.17%50.00%51.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.901.911.9657.14%52.55%52.36%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.11%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.82%E -0.928%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-08 22:44
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.18%E -1.11%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 23:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 08:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 08:14
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:51
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 23:04
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 14:29
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.32%E -2.82%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 04:34
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 12:29
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 14:49
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:04
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 12:45
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 05:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 04:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 04:59
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 04:55
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 19:32
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 06:49
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 05:54
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 17:24
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 00:03
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 13:10
MyBookie.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:49
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.82%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:04
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.82%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:04
ReBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 19:09
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:39
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 04:50
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:44
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 19:15
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 19:20
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 18:34
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 05:00
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 23:59
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.66%E -7.24%K -16.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.34%E -7.05%K -16.45%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-08 21:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25%0.0%2026-05-09 00:05
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38%0.3%2026-05-09 00:04
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-05-08 23:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-05-08 23:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-05-08 23:49
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-08 22:39
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-05-09 00:04
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.5%2026-05-09 00:04
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-05-08 22:29

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (21)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%2.5%2026-05-08 20:54
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%2.5%2026-05-08 20:54
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%2.5%2026-05-08 20:54
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%2.5%2026-05-08 20:54
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.48%3.0%2026-05-08 22:40
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.68%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.84%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-05-08 22:39
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.58%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%4.9%2026-05-08 16:34
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-05-08 09:54
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-08 20:54
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-08 20:54
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-08 20:54
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-08 20:54
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-05-08 19:09
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-05-09 00:03
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-05-08 17:54
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-05-08 08:35
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-05-08 01:35
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%7.4%2026-05-08 22:34
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%7.6%2026-05-08 17:54
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-05-08 12:43
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.95%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%12.6%2026-05-08 20:54