L’École des cotesAnaheim Ducks v Vegas Golden Knights
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Anaheim Ducks (Local)
Prévision 49.91%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%49.83%50.00%51.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.911.911.9657.14%52.40%52.36%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.09%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.928%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.41%50.17%50.00%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.901.911.9657.14%52.55%52.36%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.11%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.82%E -0.928%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 22:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.18%E -1.11%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 23:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 08:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 08:14 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:51 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.32%E -2.82%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 04:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 14:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 12:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 05:00 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 04:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 04:59 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 04:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 19:32 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 06:49 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 05:54 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 17:24 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 00:03 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 13:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 14:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.82%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Betsson | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.82%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| ReBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 04:50 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:44 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 19:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 05:00 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.67%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.66%E -7.24%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.34%E -7.05%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-08 21:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25% | 0.0% | 2026-05-09 00:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Polymarket | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| ProphetX | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.48% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.68% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.84% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Coolbet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.58% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 09:54 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 00:03 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 08:35 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 12:43 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.95% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.28% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77% | 12.6% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |