The School of Odds

Southern Brave v Birmingham Phoenix

2026-07-30 17:30 UTC — The Hundred

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Southern Brave (Local)

Prediction 49.28%2.03fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.51%49.05%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.912.0055.56%53.02%52.36%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Birmingham Phoenix (Visit)

Prediction 50.72%1.97fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.717%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%50.49%50.95%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.852.0055.56%53.01%54.05%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:45
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.81%E -5.36%K -11.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.10%E -0.565%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 21:20
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.10%E -0.565%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 21:50
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 21:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 21:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 21:20
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -9.81%E -5.36%K -11.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -5.16%E -2.76%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 01:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.90%E -2.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:20
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.90%E -2.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:20
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.90%E -2.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.39%E -2.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 21:25
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.39%E -2.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 21:25
Betr (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 21:20
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.68%E -3.63%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.39%E -2.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 21:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 21:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.81%E -5.36%K -11.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 21:19
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -8.20%E -4.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 21:30
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.43%E -0.717%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 21:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.43%E -0.717%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.43%E -0.717%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 21:45
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 21:28
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 21:25
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.84%E -4.19%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%5.3%2026-07-27 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00%1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00%66.7%2026-07-27 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00%1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00%66.7%2026-07-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00%1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00%66.7%2026-07-27 22:40