L’École des cotes

Southern Brave v Birmingham Phoenix

2026-07-30 17:30 UTC — The Hundred

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Southern Brave (Local)

Prévision 49.28%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.717%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%49.51%49.05%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.891.912.0055.56%53.02%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Birmingham Phoenix (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.72%1.97cote équitable
EV +1.43%
Avantage +0.717%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%50.49%50.95%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.891.852.0055.56%53.01%54.05%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:20
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.43%E +0.717%K +1.43%G +0.021%5.6%2026-07-27 21:45
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.81%E -5.36%K -11.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.10%E -0.565%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 21:20
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.29%E -6.27%K -14.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.10%E -0.565%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 21:50
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 21:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 21:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 21:20
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -9.81%E -5.36%K -11.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -5.16%E -2.76%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 01:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.90%E -2.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:20
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.90%E -2.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:20
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.90%E -2.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.39%E -2.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 21:25
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.39%E -2.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 21:25
Betr (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 21:20
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.68%E -3.63%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.39%E -2.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 21:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 21:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.81%E -5.36%K -11.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 21:19
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.38%E -2.80%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -8.20%E -4.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 21:30
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.43%E -0.717%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 21:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.43%E -0.717%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.43%E -0.717%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 21:45
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 21:28
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.87%E -3.07%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 21:25
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.84%E -4.19%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 21:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%5.3%2026-07-27 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00%1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00%66.7%2026-07-27 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00%1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00%66.7%2026-07-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00%1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00%66.7%2026-07-27 22:40