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Southern Brave v Birmingham Phoenix

Inizio: 2026-07-30 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Southern Brave (Casa)

Previsione 51.65%1.94quota equa
EV -1.35%
Vantaggio -0.706%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%52.16%51.48%55.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.821.831.9159.88%54.83%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Birmingham Phoenix (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.35%2.07quota equa
EV +1.53%
Vantaggio +0.731%
Kelly +1.40%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%47.84%48.52%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.961.952.1054.64%51.14%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Southern Brave (Casa): 51.65%; Birmingham Phoenix (Trasferta): 48.35%. Per Birmingham Phoenix (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.07. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.53%.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.74%E -8.23%K -20.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.53%E +0.731%K +1.40%G +0.021%7.5%2026-07-30 15:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -11.68%E -6.83%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -2.33%E -1.16%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 16:59
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 17:14
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 16:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 16:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 16:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 17:14
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 17:14
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 17:09
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 17:09
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.93%E -2.11%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.23%E -2.67%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.41%E -1.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:25
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:25
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.20%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 17:25
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.20%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -6.20%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.68%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 17:29
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.00%E -3.29%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 17:25
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 17:25
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 17:05
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.52%E -6.29%K -13.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-30 17:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-07-30 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-30 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-30 17:25
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-30 17:25
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-07-30 17:25