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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Southern Brave v Birmingham Phoenix

开赛时间： 2026-07-30 17:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Southern Brave (主队)

预测 51.65%1.94公平赔率
EV -1.35%
优势 -0.706%
Kelly -1.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%52.16%51.48%55.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.821.831.9159.88%54.83%54.64%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Birmingham Phoenix (客队)

预测 48.35%2.07公平赔率
EV +1.53%
优势 +0.731%
Kelly +1.40%
增长率 +0.021%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
44.30%47.84%48.52%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.961.952.1054.64%51.14%51.28%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Southern Brave (主队)：51.65%；Birmingham Phoenix (客队)：48.35%。 对于“Birmingham Phoenix (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.07。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.10，对应+1.53%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.74%E -8.23%K -20.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.53%E +0.731%K +1.40%G +0.021%7.5%2026-07-30 15:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -11.68%E -6.83%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -2.33%E -1.16%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 16:59
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 17:14
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 16:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 16:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 16:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 17:14
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 17:14
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 17:09
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 17:09
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.93%E -2.11%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.23%E -2.67%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.41%E -1.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:25
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:25
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.20%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 17:25
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.20%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -6.20%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.68%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 17:29
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.00%E -3.29%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 17:25
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 17:25
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 17:05
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.52%E -6.29%K -13.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-30 17:29
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-07-30 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-30 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-30 17:25
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-30 17:25
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-07-30 17:25