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Manchester Super Giants v Welsh Fire
Head to Head
Manchester Super Giants (Local)
Prediction 45.37%2.20fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.24%45.51%45.32%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.082.1352.36%48.99%48.19%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Welsh Fire (Visit)
Prediction 54.63%1.83fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +2.49%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%54.49%54.68%55.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.761.731.8759.17%56.88%57.80%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Manchester Super Giants (Local): 45.37%; Welsh Fire (Visit): 54.63%. For Welsh Fire (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.87, producing a positive expected value of +2.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -13.35%E -6.99%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +2.16%E +1.16%K +2.49%G +0.054% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 07:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -13.35%E -6.99%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +2.16%E +1.16%K +2.49%G +0.054% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 07:45 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -13.35%E -6.99%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +2.16%E +1.16%K +2.49%G +0.054% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -13.35%E -6.99%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +2.16%E +1.16%K +2.49%G +0.054% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -13.35%E -6.99%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +2.16%E +1.16%K +2.49%G +0.054% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -13.35%E -6.99%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +2.16%E +1.16%K +2.49%G +0.054% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -13.35%E -6.99%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +2.16%E +1.16%K +2.49%G +0.054% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:54 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -12.44%E -6.45%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 17:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -10.17%E -5.14%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 05:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 05:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 05:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| betano_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 19:34 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 19:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -3.37%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -7.67%E -4.54%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 17:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.67%E -4.54%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |